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March 10, 2025
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Impact of US-China Trade Measures on Exporters and Logistics Operations

Responding to Changes in U.S.-China Trade Relations

The escalating trade dispute between the United States and China has begun to place severe pressure on U.S. exporters, logistics suppliers and port operations. As new tariffs and regulatory measures are discussed further, industry stakeholders must be prepared for significant operational changes and financial impacts.

Proposed Port Charges and Carrier Coping Strategies

One of the key issues at the moment is a proposal by the United States Trade Representative (USTR) to impose a $100 million fee on the stopping of US ports by Chinese carriers. In addition, similar charges may extend to non-Chinese shipping companies that build ships using Chinese shipyards. Although these measures have not yet been finalised, they have prompted carriers to actively evaluate their response strategies. Some carriers are considering restructuring their fleets to divert Chinese-built vessels to intra-Asian and European routes to reduce the risk of direct impact. Other companies may introduce surcharges or charge customers higher shipping fees to offset potential costs.

Impact on U.S. exporters and supply chains

The implementation of such fees will have a serious impact on all types of exporters in the United States, especially agricultural product exporters. Industry leaders, including the Agricultural Transportation Alliance (AgTC), expressed concern about additional costs and supply chain disruptions that could weaken U.S. export competitiveness. Peter Friedmann, Executive Director of AgTC, stressed that while industry associations continue to express opposition, policy petitions from individual companies may be more likely to influence decision makers.

China's countermeasures and market changes

China's retaliatory tariffs and import restrictions have already affected U.S. exporters, especially in the agricultural sector. For example, a major timber exporter in the Pacific Northwest has stopped shipping to China due to rising costs. Demand for other agricultural products such as fruits, nuts and soybeans has also declined, a trend that has been exacerbated by China's recent ban on soybean imports from major U.S. traders, such as Louis Dafoe, CHS, and the Export Trade Group. Although the official reason is health concerns, the move suggests that China is gradually reducing its dependence on U.S. agricultural products.

Labor and port operations at risk

In addition to exporters, U.S. dock workers are also at higher risk due to changes in trade policy. While port charges have the support of ironworkers and shipbuilders, longshore unions may take different positions due to employment risks. Industry leaders called on trade professionals to engage in dialogue with labor unions to emphasize the importance of long-term trade stability and job security, rather than short-term protectionist measures.

Strategic Considerations for Logistics Operators

Given the uncertainty of the U.S.-China trade relationship, logistics providers should adopt aggressive strategies to mitigate risk, with key considerations including:

  • Diversification of export markets: Explore alternative international markets to reduce reliance on China.
  • Optimize route and carrier selection: Assess transport partners based on trade restrictions and potential surcharge risks.
  • Policy advocacy and industry cooperation: Work with trade associations and policy makers to promote policies that help maintain trade flow and economic stability.
  • Investing in Digital Logistics Solutions: Leverage technology for real-time tracking, cost optimization, and flexible logistics planning.

As regulatory measures continue to evolve, logistics professionals must remain flexible, up-to-date, and ready to adjust their supply chain strategies to meet this complex and rapidly changing trading environment.

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